Sunday, December 23, 2007

Top 10 Reasons Ron Paul Can Win

source: http://paul4prez.blogspot.com


10. The Internet. In previous elections, if the mainstream media consigned a candidate to the sidelines, he stayed there. Now, thanks to YouTube, Google, discussion forums, blogs, and the ability of readers to comment on major news articles, candidates like Ron Paul can no longer be hidden from public view, and networks of support can develop and strengthen on their own.

9. The falling dollar. Early on, Ron Paul was dismissed by media pundits as the guy worried about details of monetary policy that most voters didn't care about and couldn't understand. After the dollar's precipitous drop this year, Ron Paul's warnings about easy credit and calls for sound money have sparked serious debate in the financial community, and his condemnation of the "inflation tax" has struck a nerve with the voters.

8. Inaccurate polls. Anyone who assumes that the polls are in any way predictive of the results need only look back to 2004, when John Kerry came from way behind to win the Democratic nomination. Besides the oft-noted inaccuracies in polling methodology, the simple fact is that most voters haven't yet decided who they will vote for, and we won't find out until election day.

7. Appeal to Democrats. While the top Democratic candidates won't promise to bring the troops home from Iraq in the next four years, and the Democratic Congress does nothing to protect our fading civil liberties, Ron Paul's strong record against the war and for saving our Constitutional freedoms has already persuaded many Democrats to re-register as Republicans for the primary, and would make him a strong candidate in the general election.

6. Appeal to Independents. While some Republican and Democratic partisans view politics as a game of one-upping the other side and advancing their own agendas, independents are more interested in finding the best solutions to the problems facing the nation, regardless of their source. Ron Paul's willingness to discuss problems at their fundamental level, and to propose solutions outside the usual limits of debate has given him strong appeal to independent thinkers. Independent voters are key to winning early primary states like New Hampshire and Michigan, and will make Ron Paul an even stronger candidate in the general election.

5. Appeal to Republicans. While Ron Paul earns most of his attention for his anti-war stand, he is more conservative across the board than any of the other top Republican candidates. He is solidly pro-life, pro-Second Amendment, pro-smaller government, pro-Constitution, pro-free market, anti-illegal immigration, pro-border security, anti-tax, and pro-freedom. When conservatives seriously consider the issues that matter most to them, they discover that Ron Paul is the only major contender who is consistently on their side.

4. Principled consistency and personal integrity. In an age when flip-flopping candidates like Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, and Rudy Giuliani could hold YouTube debates against younger versions of themselves on issues like abortion, immigration, taxes, and the Second Amendment, Ron Paul stands out for sticking to his limited government principles throughout his ten terms in Congress. Voters will support a candidate with unquestioned integrity, even when they disagree with him on some issues.

3. Unlimited funding. The November 5th and December 16th money bombs earned more than ten million dollars for the Ron Paul campaign, but they also delivered something even more important -- the ability to return for another round from more than 100,000 small donors, while the big-money donors of the other contenders are already tapped out. Mitt Romney can keep loaning himself money, but the other candidates can't. If it becomes a national campaign after the early contests, Ron Paul is one of the few candidates who can afford to compete everywhere.

2. Grassroots support in all 50 states. Establishment candidates are accustomed to relying on their advantages in money and media coverage to win in the primaries. Ron Paul's supporters have used the Internet to circumvent those barriers, and to establish a national network of over 80,000 volunteers in over 1,000 cities. If no one wraps up the Republican nomination in the early going, Ron Paul's grassroots network will give him a decided advantage in later contests, and the ability to respond wherever it is most crucial. The political "experts" might be have missed this huge advantage, but Rudy Giuliani knows we're out there.

1. Voter turnout. The main reason that pre-primary polls are so often wrong is that voter turnout is exceedingly low in the primaries, and it is hard to predict who will actually show up to vote. Candidates generating genuine enthusiasm will do much better than predicted, as will those whose supporters are well organized. Have you run into any enthusiastic McCain, Giuliani, or Thompson supporters lately? Anyone questioning the enthusiasm or organization of Ron Paul's supporters needs only to consider his impressive record in party-organized straw polls, or to reflect on why other candidates with supposedly greater support have been unable to organize their own money bombs. Ron Paul supporters will show up on election day.

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